Evaluating Medium-Range Tropical Cyclone Forecasts in Uniform- and Variable-Resolution Global Models
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Evaluation of long-term trends in tropical cyclone intensity forecasts
The National Hurricane Center and Joint Typhoon Warning Center operational tropical cyclone intensity forecasts for the three major northern hemisphere tropical cyclone basins (Atlantic, eastern North Pacific, and western North Pacific) for the past two decades are examined for long-term trends. Results show that there has been some marginal improvement in the mean absolute error at 24 and 48 h...
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The International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) has been issuing experimental seasonal tropical cyclone activity forecasts for several ocean basins since early 2003. In this paper the method used to obtain these forecasts is described and the forecast performance is evaluated. The forecasts are based on tropical cyclone–like features detected and tracked in a low-resolution c...
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Climate changes caused by global warming has presented challenges to human society. Studying the Changes of climate variables in the future decades by using output data’s of Atmosphere-Ocean Global Circulation Models (AOGCM) is a way of perusing climate fluctuation in a region. In this study, the focus is on the AOGCM proceeds in simulating of variable temperature in Ahwaz and Abadan stations. ...
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[1] Tropical cyclone accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) has exhibited strikingly large global interannual variability during the past 40‐years. In the pentad since 2006, Northern Hemisphere and global tropical cyclone ACE has decreased dramatically to the lowest levels since the late 1970s. Additionally, the global frequency of tropical cyclones has reached a historical low. Here evidence is pres...
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gonu storm was formed in tropical basin of indian ocean early in june 2007. gonu is the strongest tropical cyclone that happened in arabian sea and north indian ocean and moved toward oman sea and persian gulf and bouncing the lands around the area. this tropical cyclone made extensive damages and human and financial causalities to countries of oman, iran, afghanistan, pakistan, and india. in t...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Monthly Weather Review
سال: 2016
ISSN: 0027-0644,1520-0493
DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-16-0021.1